Prismatic Evolutions Pull Rates: The Odds for Every Rarity
In Prismatic Evolutions you find a Special Illustration Rare about once every 45 packs, a Master Ball pattern card about once every 20 and a Hyper Rare about once every 180, based on TCGplayer's count of more than 1,200 packs. These are community estimates, not official odds.
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| Rarity | TCGplayer, 1,200+ packs | Fan data, about 2,700 packs |
|---|---|---|
| Poké Ball pattern | 1 in 3 (33.10% ± 2.60%) | Not listed |
| Double Rare | 1 in 6 (16.51% ± 2.05%) | Not listed |
| Ultra Rare (Full Art Trainer) | 1 in 13 (7.46% ± 1.45%) | 1 in 16 |
| Master Ball pattern | 1 in 20 (4.92% ± 1.19%) | 1 in 19 |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 1 in 21 (4.68% ± 1.17%) | 1 in 29 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 45 (2.22% ± 0.81%) | 1 in 53 |
| Hyper Rare (gold) | 1 in 180 (0.56% ± 0.41%) | 1 in 152 |
| One specific SIR, such as Umbreon ex | 1 in 1,440 | 1 in 1,696 |
| One specific Master Ball card | 1 in 1,362 | 1 in 1,273 |
| God pack | None in sample | Not measured |
The Pokémon Company does not publish pull rates. TCGplayer's figures come from its Authentication Center's openings, with 95% confidence ranges; the fan data was compiled by a collector and reported by Dot Esports. Specific-card rates assume every card of a rarity is equally common.
Prismatic Evolutions pull rates are estimates of how often each rarity turns up in a booster pack of the English Scarlet & Violet—Prismatic Evolutions set, released January 17, 2025. They come from card sites and collectors counting the cards in large numbers of opened packs. No official rates exist, so every figure carries a margin of error.
What are the pull rates for Prismatic Evolutions?
The best-measured Prismatic Evolutions pull rates are one Special Illustration Rare per 45 packs on average, one Master Ball pattern card per 20 and one Hyper Rare per 180, from TCGplayer's count of more than 1,200 packs. A separate fan sample of about 2,700 packs found one Special Illustration Rare per 53. The set also has rare god packs; see which sets have god packs and what a god pack is, or open a free demo in the pack simulator.
TCGplayer found Special Illustration Rares about twice as common as in 2024's regular sets, but its summary warns "the math looks good, but it won't feel that way": with 32 of them and no Illustration Rares, the card you want is still far away. Some packs also hold three, so the 1 in 45 is a ratio of cards to packs, and fewer than 1 in 45 packs actually contain one.
What's in Prismatic Evolutions
180 cards
131 in the main set, plus secret rares numbered above 131.
No Illustration Rares
Pattern foils replace the usual low-rarity alternate arts.
100 Poké Ball foils
Every Common, Uncommon and Rare has a Poké Ball pattern version.
67 Master Ball foils
The Pokémon among them also get a rarer Master Ball pattern.
32 Special Illustration Rares
26 Pokémon ex, including every Eeveelution, and six Trainers.
Other hits
25 Double Rares, 12 Full Art Trainers, six ACE SPECs and five gold Hyper Rares.
How many packs to pull a Prismatic Evolutions card?
These examples use TCGplayer's rates. Each pack is independent, so a long run without a hit does not make the next pack more likely to have one.
One Elite Trainer Box
Nine packs average about 0.2 Special Illustration Rares, so the chance of at least one is at most about 18%. The chance of at least one Master Ball card is about 37%.
Chasing Umbreon ex
At about 1 in 1,440, your chance of the Special Illustration Rare Umbreon ex (161/131) in 100 packs is about 6.7%. You would need about 1,000 packs for an even chance, while the single sold for about $1,263 near mint in mid-October 2026.
A specific Master Ball card
At about 1 in 1,362 packs, a particular Master Ball card takes about 940 packs for an even chance, close to the odds for a specific Special Illustration Rare.
Every Eeveelution Special Illustration Rare
Dot Esports points out that at 1 in 53, even pulling a new Eeveelution every time would take about 477 packs for all nine. Duplicates and other hits make the real number far higher.
Prismatic Evolutions god packs and demi-god packs
A Prismatic Evolutions god pack holds Eevee (Master Ball pattern), Special Illustration Rare Eevee ex and the Special Illustration Rare of each Eeveelution. A demi-god pack holds any three Special Illustration Rares. TCGplayer opened no god packs and suspects two demi-god packs in its sample, so nobody can say how often either appears. In mid-October 2026, a god pack's ten cards added up to about $3,290 at TCGplayer market prices for ungraded near-mint copies.
More about Prismatic Evolutions pull rates
Why the estimates differ
Smaller samples swing more. TCGplayer's Special Illustration Rare rate is 2.22% ± 0.81%, so 1 in 45 and 1 in 53 both sit inside its range. Some community guides even give a rate for Illustration Rares, a rarity the set does not have, so check how any figure was measured.
Where Prismatic Evolutions packs come from
The official product list has no booster box. Packs come in Elite Trainer Boxes, booster bundles, mini tins, a surprise box and collections such as the Binder Collection.
The Japanese version
Prismatic Evolutions is the English counterpart of Japan's Terastal Festival ex, whose god pack holds the Special Art Rare of Eevee and every Eeveelution.
How to work out your odds for one card
- Find the card's rate. Look up the rate for one specific card of its rarity, such as 1 in 1,440 packs for one Special Illustration Rare.
- Turn it into a chance per pack. Divide 1 by the number of packs: 1 ÷ 1,440 is about 0.07% per pack.
- Apply it to your packs. Your chance of at least one copy in n packs is 1 − (1 − p)ⁿ. For 100 packs at 1 in 1,440, that is about 6.7%.
- Compare with the single. Check what the card sells for on its own, and decide whether opening packs or buying the single suits you.
Prefer published odds? How Godpack works
Booster packs make you estimate. A Godpack pack works the other way round: each holds one real Pokémon card, a Near Mint raw card or a PSA or CGC slab, and shows its full odds and value range before you open. On October 17, 2026, Godpack's pools held 179 Prismatic Evolutions cards, mostly raw cards in the $1 Starter pack.
| Card | Grade and value |
|---|---|
| Pikachu ex 179/131, Hyper Rare | PSA 10, $320 |
| Glaceon ex 150/131, SIR | PSA 9, $245 |
| Flareon, Master Ball pattern | PSA 10, $217 |
| Dragapult ex 165/131, SIR | PSA 10, $197.01 |
- Prices: Starter $1, Trainer $10, Arena $25, Master $100; the demo is free.
- Shipping: $5 per card in the US, $10 to Canada.
- Selling back: card value minus a 5% fee, lower for VIP members.
Odds you can read are still odds
If you want one particular Prismatic Evolutions card, buying the single is almost always cheaper than opening packs until it appears. The same goes for Godpack: every pack is set to a 100% expected return, so the average card across the pool is worth the pack price, but any single pack can be worth more or less than you paid, and most pulls land in the lower tiers of the odds table.
Real packs are for people 18 or older, or the age of majority where you live if higher. Open them for collecting and fun, not to make money.
Booster pack, Godpack pack or single?
- Booster packsWhich current sets have better hit rates than this one.
- A Godpack packOne real card, raw or slab, odds shown first.
- A graded singleThe exact Eeveelution and grade you want.
- A free demo packA real slab revealed, no account.
FAQ
What are the pull rates for Prismatic Evolutions?
From TCGplayer's count of more than 1,200 packs: Ultra Rare 1 in 13, Master Ball pattern 1 in 20, Special Illustration Rare 1 in 45 and Hyper Rare 1 in 180. They are estimates; The Pokémon Company does not publish pull rates.
What are the odds of pulling Umbreon ex from Prismatic Evolutions?
About 1 in 1,440 packs for the Special Illustration Rare Umbreon ex on TCGplayer's data, or 1 in 1,696 on a separate fan sample. That is roughly a 6.7% chance in 100 packs.
How rare are Master Ball cards in Prismatic Evolutions?
A Master Ball pattern card turns up in about 1 in 20 packs, but with 67 of them in the set, a specific one is about 1 in 1,362 packs.
How many SIRs are in an Elite Trainer Box?
About 0.2 on average from its nine packs, so the chance of at least one Special Illustration Rare is at most about 18%.
Does Prismatic Evolutions have god packs?
Yes: Eevee (Master Ball pattern), Special Illustration Rare Eevee ex and the Special Illustration Rare of each Eeveelution. Their odds are unknown.
Can I get Prismatic Evolutions cards on Godpack?
Yes, when they are in a pack's pool. On October 17, 2026, Godpack's packs held 179 Prismatic Evolutions cards, from raw cards in the $1 Starter pack to PSA 10 slabs in the $100 Master pack.
Related pages
- Sets with god packsEvery Pokémon set with documented god packs.
- What is a god pack?The rare booster where every card is a hit.
- How Godpack's odds workPublished odds and the 100% expected return.
- Packdraw vs GodpackHow online pack sites compare.
Open a pack with the odds up front
Every Godpack pack lists its full odds before you open. Start with the free demo or a $1 pack.